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Two Tests and Non sleeping Take Home

5/2

I have finished the Econometrics test and Production Economic test.

I’m a little bit shocked because I didn’t solve some questions well, especially in Econometrics. But, I did my best. I feel I’ll get 85 points, rather than 90 points. It means that I can improve more.

After the two tests, I suddenly slept for 90 minutes in the library.

The surprise is that my final has not finished yet.

I have a Take Home of Business Forecasting.
The topic is to forecast the future.

I used Natural Gas Residential consumption in the U.S.

It took time to find data and analyze it by using Forecast X, one of the statistical software.

I checked all models I learned in the class, like Simple Smoothing models, Time-series Decompositions, Box Jenkins Model (ARIMA) models, and Multiple Regressions.

It was a tough assignment. The due is tomorrow’s 2 p.m.

My intuition forecasted it would take 10 hours.

And, it was right!!

I couldn’t sleep at all and struggle with it in the library.

YEAH, this is the last Battle of the second semester, so that I will get over it!

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